Bitcoin Profit-Taking Not Yet In Full Swing – STH Back In Profit As BTC Crossed $99K
By: bitcoinist|2025/05/15 05:45:05
0
Share
Bitcoin is trading around $103,000 after a multi-week rally that saw the price surge through major resistance levels, reigniting bullish sentiment across the market. The breakout above $90K and $100K unlocked strong momentum, but now BTC enters a critical test zone that will shape the weeks ahead. A successful push above the all-time high (ATH) near $109K could confirm the beginning of a new bullish phase, while a rejection or fakeout at current levels could trigger a sharp correction.On-chain data from CryptoQuant adds context to this pivotal moment. Since May 8th, short-term holders (STH) have finally moved back into profit territory as Bitcoin reclaimed the $99,000 mark. The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) for this group has remained above 1 ever since, indicating that STH are now selling coins at a profit. Historically, this metric reflects growing confidence and momentum, which are essential for sustaining an uptrend.However, the same data also warns that as SOPR rises, so does the likelihood of increased sell pressure. For now, the trend remains bullish, but Bitcoin’s ability to maintain this zone—and break above ATH—will determine whether the market accelerates higher or pauses for consolidation.STH Regain Profits As Bitcoin Eyes ATH BreakoutBitcoin is showing solid bullish momentum after reclaiming key resistance levels, but a breakout above the $109,000 all-time high remains critical to confirm the start of a full-scale rally. After peaking near $105,000, BTC faced moderate selling pressure and pulled back into the $101K–$100K support range, where buyers have stepped in to defend the move. This area now serves as a pivotal demand zone, and bulls must hold it to maintain market structure and push higher in the coming sessions.According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, a significant trend has emerged since May 8th—short-term holders (STH) are finally back in profit as Bitcoin crossed above the $99,000 mark. Their SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) has remained above 1 ever since, signaling that coins spent by STH are being sold at a profit. This is a crucial development because when STHs are in profit, they tend to support market momentum rather than capitulate under pressure.Darkfost highlights that when SOPR begins pushing toward 1.03, it often suggests growing sell pressure from profit-taking. However, that’s not currently the case. While some profit-taking is natural, the broader sentiment appears confident, with holders showing signs of restraint. “It feels like we’re just getting warmed up,” says Darkfost, suggesting this rally may have more room to run, provided Bitcoin can hold support and retest local highs.BTC Price Consolidates Around Key LevelsBitcoin is currently trading at $103,585 after a strong rally that began in late April and peaked near $105,000. The daily chart shows that BTC has entered a critical consolidation phase just below key resistance. After breaking through the $100,000 psychological level with high momentum, price action paused at $103,600—an area that now acts as short-term resistance.Despite a minor retracement to around $102,000, bulls have quickly defended the dip, signaling strong demand. Volume remains elevated, and BTC is comfortably trading above both the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $91,967 and the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $87,674, confirming a sustained uptrend.The market is now in a wait-and-see mode as traders look for confirmation of a breakout or signs of a deeper pullback. A close above $103,600 would likely trigger a push toward the all-time high of $109,000. Conversely, losing the $100,000–$101,000 zone could invite bearish pressure and a retest of lower support levels near $96,000.Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
You may also like

AI Seating Chart Released | Rewire News Morning Brief
Musk and Ultraman are not above

Is the era of Embodied AI's "GPT Moment" Approaching? Axis Robotics Announces End of Testing, Set to Launch on Base Chain
Axis's answer is yes - provided that a thorough reshaping of the scale-up production of robotic data is required, and a redefinition of the deployment paradigm in the physical world.

Meta Layoff Explained: On the same day as laying off 700 people, they handed out $90 billion in retention bonuses to executives
The money saved from laying off 700 people is approximately equivalent to Meta's 1.5 days of AI infrastructure spending

Binance Cracks Down on Market Makers, a Long-overdue Trial
True accountability requires regulatory involvement, enforcement agencies, rather than allowing the exchange to act as its own judge.

Wall Street Collective Bearish on 2026, Will the Oil Crisis Trigger a Recession?
「There is no middle ground; the result will definitely be one of two extremes.」

Hollywood's AI Necromancy: Death Is No Longer the End of Labor
Post-Mortem Economics

a16z: DeFi Struggling to Support a True Financial Market
More important than throughput is the determinism and fairness of transaction execution.

Morning News | Bitmine launches institutional Ethereum staking platform MAVAN; Franklin Templeton launches tokenized ETF; Morgan Stanley to issue and sponsor Bitcoin ETF
Overview of Important Market Events on March 25

Kalshi early employees: Whoever controls the traffic controls the market
Robinhood can decide where tens of millions of contracts go with the flip of a switch, while the exchanges do all the hard work but cannot control their own fate.

Tether signs contracts with four major audits, Circle's compliance moat collapses, stock price plummets by 20%
USDT, with a market value of 184 billion dollars, is undergoing its first comprehensive inspection in history.

Proudly Introducing Aethir Claw: Your AI Agent, Our Infrastructure
Explore Aethir Claw, an easy-to-deploy AI agent solution that offers fully isolated VPS, encrypted payments, and highly competitive pricing.

Why Buying Gold Can Lead to Bankruptcy
"There is no issue with 'buying gold,' the issue is 'buying whose gold.'"

If the US Treasury yield rises above 5%, will Bitcoin drop below $50,000?
During the US-Iran war, as the bond market exhibited a **"meltdown"** scenario, Bitcoin's upward momentum is showing signs of exhaustion.

Circle Plunges 20%: Crypto Earthquake Triggered by Draft Proposal
Compliance gave Circle both a suit of armor and a ball and chain.

After the Smoke Clears: 5 Possible Endings to the Middle East Conflict
The Crown Prince in Exile for Half a Century, Set to Return to Tehran?

Stablecoin Yields Discontinued, Circle Plunges 20% in One Day
Tightening Regulations and Increased Competition Lead Market to Reassess Stablecoin Business Models

AI Wired into War Machine | Rewire News Nightly
Anduril and Palantir are collaborating on the development of the core software for the Golden Dome anti-missile system, with a project budget of $18.5 billion.

Web3 is sick, but the cure is not AI
Encryption may have wasted too many years, and the current AI anxiety is merely a stress response of an industry that has overdrawn its narrative after facing external shocks.
AI Seating Chart Released | Rewire News Morning Brief
Musk and Ultraman are not above
Is the era of Embodied AI's "GPT Moment" Approaching? Axis Robotics Announces End of Testing, Set to Launch on Base Chain
Axis's answer is yes - provided that a thorough reshaping of the scale-up production of robotic data is required, and a redefinition of the deployment paradigm in the physical world.
Meta Layoff Explained: On the same day as laying off 700 people, they handed out $90 billion in retention bonuses to executives
The money saved from laying off 700 people is approximately equivalent to Meta's 1.5 days of AI infrastructure spending
Binance Cracks Down on Market Makers, a Long-overdue Trial
True accountability requires regulatory involvement, enforcement agencies, rather than allowing the exchange to act as its own judge.
Wall Street Collective Bearish on 2026, Will the Oil Crisis Trigger a Recession?
「There is no middle ground; the result will definitely be one of two extremes.」
Hollywood's AI Necromancy: Death Is No Longer the End of Labor
Post-Mortem Economics
