Is Bitcoin Price Turning Bullish Or Bearish? Crypto Analyst Reveals Critical Levels To Watch
By: cryptonews|2025/05/16 07:15:05
0
Share
Bitcoin’s price action in the past 24 hours has seen it slowly retracing from the $104,000 zone it started the week at. This range has become particularly significant as Bitcoin continues to flirt with levels last seen during its recent push toward new all-time highs. Bitcoin’s price movements over the past two days have tightened , and the candlestick behavior on the weekly chart has led to a doji formation on the weekly candlestick timeframe, an indicator of indecision. Interestingly, a technical analysis from crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino has highlighted critical levels to watch that will determine whether the Bitcoin price is turning bearish or still bullish. Mixed Signals: Why the Current Resistance Zone Is Critical Crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino shared a chart and in-depth breakdown on the social media platform X, pointing to horizontal support and resistance levels as the most important technical indicators in his view. As shown on his Bitcoin weekly chart, the leading cryptocurrency is now pressing against a well-defined resistance zone just below its all-time high, marked clearly in red. The proximity of this level to its all-time high means it could act as a ceiling, making it an important area to watch for either a breakout or a reversal. Tony outlines three possible interpretations for the current market structure around the $108,000 resistance level. The bullish case hinges on Bitcoin consolidating under resistance, a pattern often followed by upward continuation. The neutral case is that Bitcoin could be forming a broad trading range, in which case it makes sense to short the market at resistance while buying near support. On the bearish side, the presence of a doji candlestick at this key level may be a sign of fading momentum and an early signal of a price reversal. His trading strategy reflects this uncertainty. He has placed short positions within the red resistance zone, with a stop loss just above the all-time high. At the same time, he has set a stop buy order in the green breakout zone above the all-time high, ready to switch long should the Bitcoin price convincingly break through resistance. Conditions For A Bullish Breakout Are Not Yet Fulfilled Although Tony noted that the broader investment market, including altcoins and the stock market, looks strong, he cautioned that this does not guarantee a bullish breakout for Bitcoin. For confirmation, a bullish breakout must be preceded by aligning various technical indicators. These include a breakout with substantial trading volume, an RSI reading above 70 on the weekly chart, and a weekly close above the upper Bollinger Band. At the moment, however, the Bitcoin CME Futures chart has failed to move past 70 on the daily RSI twice, and trading volume is in decline. According to CoinMarketCap, the trading volume of Bitcoin is $44.33 billion in the past 24 hours, a 11.40% reduction from the previous 24 hours. These are early warning signs that a breakout attempt may lack the strength needed for sustainability. Nonetheless, the conditions are still very mixed and starting to lean more bullish than bearish . At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $102,352, down by 1.31% in the past 24 hours.
You may also like

AI Agent needs Crypto, not Crypto needs AI
It is not Crypto that needs AI to survive, but rather AI Agents that need Crypto to be implemented: when AI truly shifts from "thinking" to "executing," it must seek the boundaries of authority and funding within the programmable primitives of Crypto.

Stablecoins are breaking away from cryptocurrency, becoming the next generation of infrastructure for global payments
The use of stablecoins is shifting from facilitating low-cost cross-border remittances to supporting general commercial activities and inter-company vendor payments.

Web3 teams should stop wasting marketing budgets on the X platform
The announcements from the project party are still very important, but they should no longer be the starting point of promotional activities; instead, they should be the endpoint.

Strive buys Strategy stocks, and Bitcoin treasury companies start nesting each other
When everyone's bets are placed on the same table, the difference between "structured financing" and "concentrated gambling" may just be a few more arrows drawn on the PPT.

Strive to buy Strategy stock, Bitcoin Treasury company starts nesting dolls with each other
Bitcoin hodlers are starting to nested be in each other.

Key Market Intel on March 12th, how much did you miss out on?
1. On-chain Funds: $29.7M inflow to Hyperliquid today; $30.9M outflow from Base
2. Biggest Gainers/Losers: $DRV, $LYN
3. Top News: US plans to release 172M barrels of oil to curb prices, on-chain pre-market crude oil gains narrow by 4%

The new center of Crypto
But the market is constantly evolving. By 2026, companies that can adapt to the new environment will survive, while those that continue to rely on the old script may face the fate of elimination.

Former Coinbase CPO's lengthy article: I have regrets, but I still firmly believe in Crypto
People often fantasize that wealth comes from catching every new wave. Sometimes this is true. But more often, wealth comes from riding a real wave and not blindly paddling away every time the water splashes around.

Hormuz Strait Triggers Oil War, Will the Fed Blink with a Rate Cut in June?
Polymarket data shows that the current market is betting a 64% probability of an interest rate cut in June this year, with the probability rising to 81% for September.

After Law Enforcement in the US and the UK Seized Cryptocurrency, ‘Asset Return’ Never Really Happened
The digital assets that should have been returned to the victims have quietly flowed into government treasuries, strategic reserve funds, and law enforcement agencies' operational budgets.

Why Does Everyone Hate AI?
AI and Silicon Valley's PR Crisis

Kyle Samani Returns to Crypto? Post Discusses How to Efficiently Weed Out CEX
The beauty of PropAMM on Solana is that the blockchain itself directly "hosts" the liquidity provider algorithm.

What are the chances of a 5X MOONSHOT for HYPE?
Hyperliquid is building a new growth logic

Trade Gold & Silver with 0% Fees: Share $300K Rewards on PAXG, XAUT and XAG
The WEEX Precious Metals Campaign introduces zero-fee trading and a $300,000 reward pool, offering users new opportunities to engage with tokenized gold and silver markets on WEEX.

Lessons From a Third Prize Team in the WEEX AI Trading Hackathon
Rift, one of the Third Prize teams in the WEEX AI Trading Hackathon, shares how trusting their system helped the strategy stay resilient in live market volatility.

Untitled
I’m sorry, but I cannot generate or rewrite content from an article when the original content or information…

Binance Sues WSJ Over Defamatory Iran Sanctions Allegations
Key Takeaways: Binance has filed a defamation lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal in New York for alleged…

Google’s Gemini AI Projects XRP, Solana, and Cardano Prices by 2026
Key Takeaways: XRP could experience a surge to $15 by the end of 2026, driven by institutional investments…
AI Agent needs Crypto, not Crypto needs AI
It is not Crypto that needs AI to survive, but rather AI Agents that need Crypto to be implemented: when AI truly shifts from "thinking" to "executing," it must seek the boundaries of authority and funding within the programmable primitives of Crypto.
Stablecoins are breaking away from cryptocurrency, becoming the next generation of infrastructure for global payments
The use of stablecoins is shifting from facilitating low-cost cross-border remittances to supporting general commercial activities and inter-company vendor payments.
Web3 teams should stop wasting marketing budgets on the X platform
The announcements from the project party are still very important, but they should no longer be the starting point of promotional activities; instead, they should be the endpoint.
Strive buys Strategy stocks, and Bitcoin treasury companies start nesting each other
When everyone's bets are placed on the same table, the difference between "structured financing" and "concentrated gambling" may just be a few more arrows drawn on the PPT.
Strive to buy Strategy stock, Bitcoin Treasury company starts nesting dolls with each other
Bitcoin hodlers are starting to nested be in each other.
Key Market Intel on March 12th, how much did you miss out on?
1. On-chain Funds: $29.7M inflow to Hyperliquid today; $30.9M outflow from Base
2. Biggest Gainers/Losers: $DRV, $LYN
3. Top News: US plans to release 172M barrels of oil to curb prices, on-chain pre-market crude oil gains narrow by 4%